Royal Challengers Bengaluru is currently at the bottom of the points table after losing seven of their eight matches thus far in IPL 2024. As astonishing as it may seem, they are still in the running for the playoffs. They can continue to make without giving net run rates a second thought.
Let's pretend for a second, impossible as it may seem, that RCB wins all six of their remaining games, beginning on Thursday against Sunrisers Hyderabad. After that, they will end with 14 points. Then, they might place among the top four without entering an NRR scenario if other outcomes go their way.
The best-case scenario for RCB is that the top two or three teams win a lot of games, leaving the rest of the teams battling for a spot. Given the current IPL 2024 positions, it's highly likely that those teams will be Rajasthan Royals, Kolkata Knight Riders, and Sunrisers Hyderabad.
They will end with 22, 20, and 20 points, respectively, if we assume that the Royals will win four of their remaining six games and KKR and Sunrisers five of their remaining seven. With 14 points, RCB may finish fourth in such a scenario, with the other teams having 12 or fewer points.
As an RCB fan, let's investigate the possible scenarios -
Assume that both Sunrisers and KKR experience an abrupt and severe decline in performance and end with 12 points, meaning they will each only win one of the final seven games. Assume further that one of the other clubs, let's say the Lucknow Super Giants, has a winning streak of five out of the last six games. When LSG reaches 20, it will tie with the Royals for the top spot. Then, with six clubs tied on 12, RCB will finish third with 14 points. If Sunrisers or KKR place in the top two, such a situation could also occur.